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The Dark Knight Rises Opening Could Rival The Avengers

The biggest fight this summer won’t be between Earth’s Mightiest Heroes and Loki or Batman and Bane, but between The Avengers and The Dark Knight Rises.

The Marvel ensemble movie skyrocketed to record-breaking blockbuster success after early tracking numbers placed it on a course to open domestically with about $125 million. Of course, the Joss Whedon-directed film blew that estimate out of the water, grossing $207. 4 million in its first weekend on the way to becoming the third highest-grossing film of all time, behind Avatar and Titanic.

So, does The Dark Knight Rises stand a chance of dethroning The Avengers? According to the Los Angeles Times, the tracking numbers are actually very close to that of The Avengers, with the conclusion of director Christopher Nolan’s Batman trilogy projected to gross $150 million in its opening. But as you can see from the pre-release tracking for The Avengers, these estimates are far from perfect.

When the Warner Bros. release arrives in theaters July 20, it will be met with little competition; earlier this week, Universal Pictures changed the release of The Bourne Legacy from Aug. 3 to Aug. 10 to move the action film out of the path of The Dark Knight Rises and Sony’s Total Recall remake. Its most obvious competitor, Columbia Pictures’ The Amazing Spider-Man, opens more than two weeks earlier to take advantage of the long Independence Day holiday, during which it’s expected to rake in about $125 million.

The Dark Knight Rises sees the return of franchise stars Christian Bale, Michael Caine, Gary Oldman and Morgan Freeman, joined by Anne Hathaway, Tom hardy, Joseph Gordon-Levitt and Marion Cotillard.

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Comments

  • CudaBiro

    I don’t think anyone would be surprised by this.

  • careyt

    who is Christian Bane? that’s a funny typo in the last sentence.

  • GLJeremy

    I loved Avengers, and I am hoping Dark Knight Rises is even better, but Avengers would be really tough to beat if for no other reason than the extra money its 3D ticketing brings in. Avengers was on regular, 3D, Imax, Imax 3D, and Dbox. Its up to debate on if those gimmicks or not, butregardles they each add an extra 3-4$ per ticket. So far I have only heard DKR as being on Imax so its a bit of a hill to climb.

  • http://twitter.com/JohnByrneSays John Byrne Says…

    Excited to see this, Batman will be getting my money twice opening weekend.

    I don’t think it will get near Avengers box-office though. For one thing The Dark Knight Rises is a longer movie so it will have less showings in a day. More importantly there is no 3D version if I remember right. So it won’t have as high a ticket price so even if the same number of tickets are sold, it still makes less money.

    I’ll predict it does around 165 million opening weekend.

  • http://twitter.com/Arthurknight Michael J

    The Dark Knight opening will be impressive but there is no way it’s going to beat the Avengers record with Spider-Man still hanging around at the theaters capturing his fans imaginations and that film is also in 3D.Plus the Avengers is literally an All Star cast of superheroes in one film.Had Spider-Man found his way on the roster the film would have been even bigger and made triple the profits and then some.

    Plus Spider-Man is also playing in D-Box as well to give the fans an even more interacting feel to the motions and action scenes in the movie.What the Los Angeles Times is not taking into account and practically dimissing, while they are running their projection numbers on the Dark Knight Rises is The Amazing Spider-Man.It’s like they don’t want to acknowledge that Marvel comics Amazing Spider-Man will be trying to break some records too when it comes out two weeks ahead of the Dark Knight. 

    Why pretend that Spider-Man is not going to give the Dark Knight some trouble in the box office.We and I mean the folks who aren’t wearing blinders know that the web head is not going to allow the Dark Knight to break the Avengers record.It will be an epic struggle but at the end of the day it’s not like everyone who goes to see Spider-Man is suddenly going to walk out the theater and ask for a refund just so they can go and see the Dark Knight or ask for a ticket change to see Nolan’s Batman in action for the last time.

    They are jumping to conclusions without looking at all the facts and the fact is Spider-Man won’t be going anywhere when  Batman comes to the theaters.

  • http://twitter.com/heckyeahkylep Kyle Pinion

    While I appreciate your optimism, very few people are talking about the upcoming Spider-man movie, the perception being that it just looks like a big retread to most. I’ll be there for sure, but non-comics people are basically saying, “we saw this already”…

    I’d expect it to put up pretty dissapointing numbers, we’ll see though

  • scottishpunk711

    Even if TDKR doesn’t beat AVENGERS (which I hope it does), the idea that a 2D movie making $160 or more is a way more impressive achievement than AVENGERS debut (a bit shady, when considering the prices were jacked up by the 3D gimmick).

  • http://www.therawness.com/ T. AKA Ricky Raw

    I don’t think Dark Knight Rises will underperform incredibly, especially once the word of mouth comes out.

  • http://twitter.com/Toddry Todd Johnson

    As long as SuperHero movies thrive like this it’s all good. Keep getting bigger and better!

  • okungnyo

    You are retarded. You think that there is some Internet-wide conspiracy to downplay TASM for no reason? Or do you think it’s actually because TDKR is probably the most anticipated movie ever since Phantom Menace, and nobody gives a shit about TASM?

    TASM won’t break any records. And even if it does, it will be completely disregarded due to its six-day weekend, which is unfair to other movies’ three-day weekends.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Philip-Ho/1134244551 Philip Ho

    It will be big but it won’t beat Avengers…